The period from 1870-1913 was a period of globalization in both goods and financial markets comparable to the present era of globalization. It was also a period rife with emerging market financial crises with great resonance for the experience that we have observed in the past decade. In both eras many emerging countries faced frequent currency crises, banking crises and twin crises. They also faced a number of debt crises coming on the heels of banking and currency trouble. In both periods many of these countries suffered from what Eichengreen and Hausmann (1999) refer to as original sin. The external debt that they accumulated to finance their development was almost strictly denominated in foreign currency or in terms of gold (or had gold clauses) before 1914, just as emerging market debt today is almost entirely denominated in dollars, euros or yen. When the exchange rate depreciates, debt service in gold or foreign currency becomes very difficult leading to an increased likelihood of default, the consequent drying up of external funding and economic collapse.
The emerging country experience stands in contrast to that of the advanced core countries which are financially mature, have credibility and either issue bonds denominated in terms of their own currency or manage their significant hard currency debt carefully. There were few crises in these countries. This leads us to wonder whether these debt structures might play a role in explaining the difference in crisis incidence. We also investigate whether balance sheet mismatches as discussed in Goldstein and Turner (2004) mattered. Finally we also examine whether poor reputation and accumulated default experience was a problem as hypothesized by Carmen Reinhart, Kenneth Rogoff and Miguel Savastano (2003) in their work on debt intolerance.