The mountain pine beetle (Dendroctonus ponderosae Hopkins) is native to pine (Pinus) forests throughout western North America. Periodic population eruptions occur when an abundance of susceptible host trees coincides with climatic conditions amenable for beetle survival (e.g., Taylor and Carroll 2004). Although epidemic populations are a natural component of forest disturbance, large infestations have substantial impacts and provide unique challenges to forest managers (Safranyik et al. 1974; Safranyik and Carroll 2006). At present, Western Canada is experiencing the largest mountain pine beetle epidemic on record. By 2006, over 9 million ha of lodgepole pine forest had been infested (Westfall 2007).
To date, stand-scale mountain pine beetle relationships have been used to develop landscape-scale management models (see Nelson et al. 2006c for a discussion). However, using relationships observed at a stand scale for landscape-scale management may be problematic as the general principle of ecological fallacy indicates that relationships do not necessarily hold across spatial scales (Wiens 1989; Levin 1992). By locating and exploring high-intensity infestations (termed “hot spots”in this paper), it is possible to characterize landscape conditions favourable for hosting large beetle populations. Such analysis is important in improving our knowledge of mountain pine beetle dynamics over large areas.