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Ebook Style Rotation, Momentum, and Multifactor Analysis
Submitted by puput on Thu, 05/27/2010 - 03:49The notion of equity styles has been around for decades. An equity style is simply an equity class, a portfolio of stocks that share a common characteristic (e.g., small-cap stocks). A large body of both academic and industry research has been devoted to style investing. In recent years, average return differences between styles, such as the difference between growth and value stocks, have become the focus of many investigations. For example, Rosenberg, Reid, and Lanstein (1985), Fama and French (1992), Lakonishok, Shleifer, and Vishny (1994), and Roll (1997), among many others, have examined the long-term relative performances between growth, value, small-cap, and large-cap stocks. Meanwhile, the potential success of style rotation strategies has also attracted numerous studies (e.g., Beinstein (1995), Fan (1995), Sorensen and Lazzara (1995), Kao and Shumaker (1999), Levis and Liodakis (1999), and Asness et al. (2000)). These studies conclude that various dynamic style strategies are profitable and suggest that relative performances between equity styles are time-varying and predictable. In addition to the attempts to explore investment strategies, the concept of styles has also been utilized in the evaluation of managed portfolios. Most notably, Sharpe (1992) proposes an asset class factor model for performance attribution of mutual funds. Daniel et al. (1997), Fung and Hsieh (1997), and Ibbotson and Kaplan (2000) have extended Sharpe's style analysis in several ways.
In this article, we provide a multifactor analysis of style momentum. Style momentum is a combination of style rotation and momentum strategies. Specifically, we consider a set of size and book-to-market sorted portfolios that represent well-known investment styles, and rank the style portfolios in each month according to their returns over the previous month. A style momentum strategy buys the winner style and short-sells the loser style. This style strategy generates significant profits. Over the period from 1960 to 2001, the average return of the winner is, on an annualized basis, more than 16 percent higher than that of the loser. This return difference is significantly larger than the difference between the average returns of any two style portfolios. More surprisingly, conventional risk adjustment using the Fama and French (1993) three factor model appears to strengthen, rather than explain, the style momentum profits, although the model does capture much of the variation in the returns of the underlying style portfolios. The Fama-French three factor regressions do not provide any evidence that the strategy of buying the winner is any riskier than that of buying the loser. According to the regression intercepts, the risk-adjusted return difference between the winner and loser strategies is even larger than the raw return difference.
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Ebook Report on Overweight and Obesity in Children and Adolescents
Submitted by puput on Sat, 10/10/2009 - 02:50In the past several decades, there has been a dramatic rise of overweight and obese individuals in the United States. More than 60% of American adults aged 20 years or more are overweight or obese, with 25% of American adults considered obese. Overweight and obesity are labels for ranges of weight that are greater than what is generally considered healthy for a given height. Overweight and obesity ranges are determined by using weight and height to calculate a number called the “body mass index” (BMI). BMI is used because, for most people, it correlates with their amount of body fat.
Overweight and obesity can lead to significant health problems and increase risk for serious medical conditions including Type II diabetes, heart disease, hypertension, and stroke. Being overweight or obese may also be associated with increased risk for certain types of cancer. In addition to physical health, being overweight or obese can affect the mental, emotional, and social health of individuals who suffer from it. Overweight and obesity have consequences on an individual’s overall quality of life.
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Ebook Interactions between business cycles, financial cycles and monetary policy: stylised facts
Submitted by puput on Fri, 01/22/2010 - 04:08The spectacular rise in asset prices up to 2000 in most developed countries has attracted a great deal of attention and reopened the debate over whether these prices should be targeted in monetary policy strategies. Some observers see asset price developments, in particular those of stock prices, as being inconsistent with developments in economic fundamentals, ie a speculative bubble. This interpretation carries with it a range of serious consequences arising from the bursting of this bubble: scarcity of financing opportunities, a general decline in investment, a fall in output, and finally a protracted contraction in real activity. Other observers believe that stock prices are likely to have an impact on goods and services prices and thus affect economic activity and inflation.
These theories are currently at the centre of the debate on whether asset prices should be taken into account in the conduct of monetary policy, ie as a target or as an instrument. However, the empirical link between asset prices and economic activity on the one hand, and the relationship between economic activity and interest rates or between stock prices and interest rates on the other, are not established facts. This study therefore sets out to identify a number of stylised facts that characterise this link, using a statistical analysis of these data (economic activity indicators, stock prices and interest rates).
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