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Free Ebook Experiments on the upstream wake in magnetofluid dynamics

Measurements have been made of the perturbation magnetic field in front of a semi-infinite Rankine body moving parallel to a uniform impressed magnetic field in a conducting fluid. The purpose of these experiments was to investigate the so-called upstream wake effect which has been predicted by theory. It is believed that these are the first experiments in which the upstream wake was observed. Although the wake was found to exist as predicted when the Alfven number is greater than one, its decay behavior was remarkably different from that which was predicted.

Ebook The US Sub-prime Crises and Extreme Exchange Market Pressures in Asia

Despite the uncertainties and the fear of another round of the financial crisis that occurred in 1997 in Asia, the emerging markets of Asia have emerged relatively well from the recent sub-prime global financial crisis. By the third and fourth quarter of 2009, the Asian economies in general, reported positive trade balances and net current account balances. Signs that rapid economic recovery is on course can also be traced from their GDP growth rates. Moreover, the return of a continual inflow of portfolio capital starting in late 2009 confirmed the renewal of market confidence in the near term outlook of these Asian economies. Unprecedented fiscal and monetary policy stimulus packages in 2008 and early 2009 have contributed significantly to their rapid recoveries (Tables 1 and 2). The ability of the policy makers to maintain financial stability and prevent a severe credit crunch from taking place, has also given a major boost to their overall economic performances (Siregar and Lim (2010)).

Among many aspects of a financial crisis, the sudden rise in exchange rate volatility has always been a major source of concern for policy makers. For instance, during the 1997 Asian financial crisis, the large swings that involved severe depreciations of the local currencies exacerbated the fundamental weaknesses of the affected economies. The weak currencies forced many financial institutions and their clients into debilitating insolvencies (Lane (1999)). In tandem with the credit crunch, particularly sharp falls in trade credits, volatile local currencies were responsible for the collapse of the trade and other sectors of the economies in several major East and Southeast Asian economies such as Korea, Indonesia and Thailand during the 1997 crisis.

Ebook On the Empirics of Sudden Stops: The Relevance of Balance-Sheet Effects

The sequence of financial crises that started with the so-called Tequila crisis in Mexico in 1994-95 strongly suggests that these phenomena cannot simply be rationalized in terms of advanced-country business cycle models. More is at stake here. In particular, these episodes are associated with a sharp contraction of international capital flows, or Sudden Stop, which may by itself have triggered the ensuing disruption. Sudden Stops are associated with large depreciations and major financial disruptions, leading to significantly lower rates of return, investment and growth. This is the point of view that will be elaborated on and subjected to empirical analysis in the present paper.

For starters, we would like to say a few words on alternative explanations of deep financial crises in Emerging Market economies (EMs) and give an intuitive presentation of the approach pursued in this paper. A popular explanation for these crises used to be and, in some quarters still is, “lack of fiscal discipline.” As the argument goes, crisis-prone EMs have a tendency to run high fiscal deficits, which eventually result in an unsustainable level of public debt. Thus, there comes a time when lenders stop lending, forcing a major domestic adjustment. This explanation is very appealing for the 1980s Debt Crisis in Latin America, but finds little support in Asia. For example, at the inception of its 1997 crisis, Korea’s public debt hovered around only 10 percent of GDP. Moreover, debt levels in EMs are comparable to if not significantly lower than in advanced countries (e.g., Japan).

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