What is the effect of political regimes from democracies to dictatorships on the economy? This is a key policy question that has received attention from researchers in economics in the past 10 years. We may believe in, and hope for, a positive relationship between economic growth, or GDP levels, and democratization. On the other hand, military dictatorships have to deliver benefits to the people in order to continue in power, and higher economic growth may be one way of achieving this.
To summarize the findings till now, Barro (1996) and Rodrik (1997) find no impact of democracy on economic growth. These results are in line with the study of Przeworski, Alvarez, Cheibub, and Limongi (2000) who find no differences in long-term growth between democratic and autocratic regimes. Almeida and Ferreira (2002) show that the variance of growth rates is significantly higher in societies under autocracy than in societies under democracy. Focusing on the dynamic effects of democracy, Minier (1998), Rodrik and Wacziarg (2005) find a positive effect of democratization on economic growth. More recently, Persson and Tabellini (2006) show that democracies need to be consolidated in order to stimulate growth.