The inquiry into the relationship between countries’ trade policy and their subsequent economic growth has two branches. The first seeks to relate cross-country differences in openness to cross-country variation in GDP growth. The second focuses on the microeconomic link between firm exporting and firm productivity. This paper uses several new firm-level models of international trade to explore a third channel, the evolution of industry productivity resulting from a reallocation of activity across firms in response to changes in trade costs.
An increase in aggregate industry productivity as a result of falling trade costs is a key feature of three heterogeneous-firm, general equilibrium trade models recently introduced by Bernard et al. (2000), Melitz (2002), and Yeaple (2002). These models emphasize productivity differences across firms operating in an imperfectly competitive industry consisting of horizontally differentiated varieties. In all three models, the existence of trade costs induces only the most productive firms to self-select into exporting. As trade costs fall, industry productivity rises due a reallocation of activity across firms: lower trade costs cause low productivity non-exporting firms to exit and high productivity non-exporters to increase their sales through exports, thereby increasing their weight in aggregate industry productivity. An important feature of these models is that the increase in aggregate productivity is not a result of faster firm productivity growth from exporting.