The sovereign risk associated with high levels of public debt and the significant exposure of banking institutions to these debt instruments have received considerable attention from economic policy makers in recent years (see, for example, World Economic Outlook, September 2003). Reflecting this growing concern, policy makers have focused attention on developing frameworks which can assess the vulnerability of the emerging economies to debt default and mitigate its impact on economic performance and financial stability.
The exposure to exogenous shocks inherent in an open economy such as Jamaica, as well as the high level of indebtedness have raised many questions for policymakers and the general public. For example, at what level does public debt become too high to be sustainable? What can policy makers do to cushion the economy against the risks that high debt presents, and, perhaps most importantly, what policy actions needed to ensure that a debt reduction strategy is sustainable?