The employment consequences of long-term investments have for a long time been a controversial issue in economics and this issue seems to underlie many disputes between firm owners and labor unions. In conventional models of imperfectly competitive labor markets, for example Layard, Nickell and Jackmann (1991), the investments have no effect on equilibrium unemployment. This is due to the specification of a Cobb-Douglas production function, which implies a constant wage elasticity of labor demand. For this class of production functions, investments or interest rates will have no effect on the wage determination, achieved through wage negotiations due to the constant wage elasticity, and therefore no effect on equilibrium unemployment.
Many reservations can be raised against the Cobb-Douglas specification, according to which the elasticity of substitution between labor and capital is equal to one. For the U.S. economy empirical studies have produced estimates according to which the elasticity of substitution empirical studies lies well below one (see e.g. Lucas (1969), Chirinko (2002), Chirinko et.al (2004) and Antras (2004)). Also empirical evidence concerning international data seems to consistently yield estimates, which do not lie in conformity with the Cobb-Douglas specification (see e.g. Rowthorn (1995), (1999), Duffy and Papageorgiou (2000) and Pessoa et. al (2004)). Berthold et. al (1999) have argued that the elasticity of substitution between capital and labor for Germany and France are higher than one. It has also been argued that when trying to explain variations in the labor share there is a need to depart from the usual assumption of a Cobb-Douglas production function (see Bentolila and Saint-Paul (2002)).