Why do financial crises draw much attention from the public? Speculative attacks or turbulence in the foreign exchange markets make headlines in the news, but it is usually the consequence of the crises that interest people the most. More specifically, people tend to think that financial crises create negative impacts on the real economy, and that such economic turmoil can lead to political turmoil as witnessed in Indonesia during the Asian crisis of 1997-98. However, as Gupta, et al. (2000) and Angkinand and Ito (2004) show, it is not always the case that financial crises lead to output losses, but that financial crises can even lead an economy to experience an expansion. Regardless of what statistical analysis has found, the perception that financial crises lead to negative consequences on the real economy is quite prevalent.
While many researchers have attempted to theorize or empirically study what can contribute to the occurrence of a crisis, some have investigated the factors that can lead to crises with output losses (Bordo, et al. (2001), Glick and Hutchison (2001), Gupta, et al. (2000), Hutchison and Noy (2001, 2002a,b)). While macroeconomic or institutional factors have been investigated as possible contributors to the occurrence of a crisis or its output losses, capital controls have been also discussed as one of the main contributors (Glick and Hutchison (2001), Bordo, et al. (2001)). The discussion on the role of capital controls heightened especially during the Asian crisis. Krugman (1998) advocated implementing capital controls as an extraordinary policy for an extraordinary situation such as a financial crisis. In 1998, Malaysia’s prime minister M. Mahathir tightened capital controls in an attempt to insulate his country from negative waves from the Asian crisis.