Service trade liberalization has been a highly controversial subject in the World Trade Organization (WTO). This controversy is exacerbated by the narrow focus of its negative effects of service openness on services industry itself. Yet given the fact that manufacturing industries rely on services intermediate inputs, large gains could potentially be achieved through liberalizing services sectors. Thus the aim of this paper is to investigate the effects of service trade liberalization on manufacturing productivity. This topic sounds more important in China for two reasons. First, China is the “world factory” and famous for the manufacturing products of “made in China”; Second, China has made extraordinarily deep and wide ranging commitments in the services area as part of WTO accession. But, little is known about the productivity effect of China’s service trade liberalization for manufacturing industry. I aim to close the gap.
The emerging literature on the relationship between service trade liberalization and manufacturing productivity mainly focuses on the effect of FDI in services on productivity. Fernandes (2007) [18]estimates positive and significant effects of liberalization of finance and infrastructure on labor productivity of downstream manufacturing industries in Eastern European countries. Arnold et al. (2007a)[7] use the presence of foreign service providers, privatization and the level of competition to proxy for service trade liberalization and find foreign entry into services industry is the key channel through which service liberalization contributes to improvement of firm-level manufacturing TFP. Arnold et al. (2007b)[6] find significant and positive productivity effects of banking, telecommunications, and transport reforms on manufacturing firms in India. All these studies capture the dependence of manufacturing on services using industry level data from input output table. Fernandes and Paunov (2008)[17] use firm-specific time varying measures of the intensity of service usage and find forward linkage from FDI in services accounts for almost 5% of the manufacturing productivity growth in Chile from year 1992 to 2004. Javorcik and Li (2008)[25]estimate a positive effect of FDI in Romanian retail sector on the TFP of manufacturing suppliers (food industry)to that sector. Arnolda, Mattoob and Narcisoc (2008)[8]show a significant and positive relationship between firm productivity and service performance in communications, electricity and financial sectors by using its variation at the sub-national regional level of Sub-Saharan Africa.