Until the Card and Krueger (1994, 1995) publications, there was near unanimity among economists that increases in the minimum wage have a small negative effect on the employment of low wage workers covered by minimum wage law. However, Card and Krueger’s contrary evidence with US data, as well as evidence from Britain (Machin and Manning, 1994; Dickens, Machin and Manning, 1999), have challenged this view, based on the traditional competitive model. Economists are now taking more seriously other models, such as the equilibrium wage dispersion models (e.g., Burdett and Mortenson, 1989; Burdett and Wright, 1994; Dickens, Machin and Manning, 1999; Manning, 1993), which can accommodate non-negative employment effects in the covered sector.
While this debate moves forward, we note that we have even less of an understanding of the employment and wage effects of the minimum wage on the sector not covered by minimum wage law (uncovered sector). Aside from this paper’s predecessors (El-Hamidi and Terrell, 2001; Gindling and Terrell, 1995), there are only a handful of empirical studies examining the impact on the uncovered sector, e.g., Tauchen (1981) studies the uncovered agricultural sector in the US and more recently Fajnzylber (2001) studies the impact on the informal sector in Brazil.