This report discusses the findings from the Low Pay Commission (LPC) project ‘The Impact of the National Minimum Wage on Profits and Prices’. The background to this work is that there is by now a large body of work examining the impact of minimum wages on employment, with a particular focus placed upon whether minimum wages price workers out of jobs as predicted by orthodox competitive labour market theory (Borjas, 2004; Brown, 2003), or whether there is any effect on employment at all, as stressed in the newer, so called ‘revisionist’ work (as typified by Card and Krueger, 1994). This, often controversial, research does find it rather hard to identify important job displacement effects associated with minimum wage floors.
Since it is also the case that affected workers do receive significant wage gains from minimum wages, this does beg the question as to how firms are able to sustain the higher wage costs induced by minimum wages. It is evident that, if employment effects are small, then something else has to give. One possibility is that the minimum wage eats into profit margins, or raises prices, and this is the focus of this research project.