The choice of exchange rate regime has been an important topic in economic policy and research for a long time. Theoretical and empirical studies have tried to determine whether fixed or flexible exchange rates mitigate financial crises, lower consumption or output volatilities, affect productivity growth or any other important aspects of the performance of countries. The evidence and predictions of these studies are mixed. Some have found that fixed exchange rates are preferable, others exactly the opposite. In terms of the effect of exchange rate regimes on productivity growth, no significant empirical relationship has been found in many of the studies. Among these are Baxter and Stockman (1989) and Gosh, Guilde, and Wolf (2002).
Recently, however, this view has been challenged by Aghion et al. (2006) who performed a panel data study in which they showed that, when a country’s level of financial development is taken into account, the exchange rate regime matters for long-run productivity growth. When the country has a low level of financial development, a flexible exchange rate leads to lower productivity growth than a fixed exchange rate regime, while the effect is insignificant in financially developed countries. These results show that exchange rate regimes and productivity growth can be interrelated and motivate me to explore channels that link the exchange rate regime, the level of financial development, and productivity growth.