The chain of events that led to the crisis has now been identified: the turmoil that erupted in summer 2007 followed a period of exceptional growth in the distribution of credit, financed through extensive use of leverage within the financial system. Banks following the “originate-to-distribute” model sold their loans on financial markets in a totally unregulated manner through structured investment vehicles (SIVs) and other off balance sheet vehicles. Short-term investors financed the SIVs, which held long-term claims of varying quality. After several years of benign macroeconomic conditions and plentiful market liquidity, investors became less and less cautious about the mounting risks associated with these increasingly complex new financial products, which were nevertheless receiving high ratings from credit rating agencies (CRAs), implying low risks to investors, financial firms and other users.
Rising defaults by subprime mortgage borrowers in the USA caused liquidity to dry up on these markets. This impacted interbank relations more broadly through a crisis of confidence, inflicting heavy losses on banks and ultimately triggering a global financial crisis. Central banks were and remain forced to make repeated injections of liquidity to restore confidence.