We re-examine the optimality of tax smoothing from the point of view of frictional labor markets. Since Barro’s (1979) partial-equilibrium intuition, Lucas and Stokey’s (1983) general-equilibrium analysis, and continuing through to today’s quantitative DSGE models used to study optimal fiscal policy, the prescription that governments ought to hold labor tax rates virtually constant in the face of aggregate shocks is well-known to macroeconomists. We show that this cornerstone optimal-policy prescription and the intuition underlying it depend crucially on a Walrasian view of labor markets. If one instead takes what has emerged as the standard search and bargaining view of labor markets, tax-smoothing ceases to be important for empirically-relevant labor market parameters. If wages are determined in bilateral bargaining after workers and firms meet, not only is tax-smoothing unimportant, but purposeful tax-rate volatility is actually welfare-enhancing by partially offsetting cyclical bargaining-induced wedges.
Our baseline search and bargaining environment is identical to the one that has come into widespread use in recent DSGE modeling efforts. We quantitatively demonstrate the optimality of labor tax-rate volatility in this environment. In an effort to recover tax smoothing, we then incrementally alter the environment in a number of ways, each of which in principle reduces the severity of search and bargaining frictions. In particular, we change the timing of labor market flows, introduce a labor-force participation margin, and allow for wages to be determined in a competitive fashion, rather than through ex-post bilateral bargaining. Changing the timing of labor market flows and allowing a labor-force participation choice each, as well as together, only modestly reduces the degree of optimal tax-rate volatility.