Although research shows that financial development accelerates aggregate economic growth (Levine, 2006), economists have devoted few resources to resolving conflicting theoretical predictions about the distributional effects of financial development. Some theories imply that financial development disproportionately helps small firms. If smaller firms find it more difficult to access financial services due to greater information and transaction costs, then financial development that ameliorates these frictions will exert an especially positive impact on smaller firms (Galor and Zeira, 1993; Aghion and Bolton, 1997)). In contrast, if fixed costs prevent small firms from accessing financial services, then financial development will disproportionately help larger firms (Greenwood and Jovanovic, 1990; Haber et al., 2003).
Besides assessing theoretical disputes, political economy and public policy considerations motivate our study of the cross-firm distributional effects of financial development. If financial development affects small firms differently from large ones, then firms might disagree about the desirability of financial reforms. Even if financial development helps all firms, one set of firms might oppose financial reforms that diminish the group’s comparative power, which is consistent with influential work on the political economy of financial policies such as Kroszner and Stratmann (1998), Kroszner and Strahan (1999), Rajan and Zingales (2003), Pagano and Volpin (2005), and Perotti and von Thadden (2006). Rather than analyzing political lobbying by firms of different sizes, we examine whether financial development has cross-firm distributional effects. In addition, the World Bank pours about $2 billion per year toward subsidizing small firms, which further motivates our examination of the cross-firm distributional effects of financial development.