PDF Ebook Return Migration $ A Duration Analysis
Most of the economic literature on migration views the migration decision as permanent. However, several studies have shown that more and more mi$ grants either return to their home country after a period abroad or perhaps migrate onward to a third country, see e.g. Dustmann and Weiss (2007). The economic literature on migration is therefore now becoming more dif$ ferentiated, acknowledging that migration can be both a permanent and a temporary decision and that immigrants who emigrate can be both return and onward migrants. Since the duration of the migration is very important to the economic effects of migration, it is crucial to obtain knowledge of the duration of the migrantsstay in the receiving country. Further, it is very important to see whether there are any differences between migrants with long durations compared to migrants with shorter durations.
This paper will present an empirical duration analysis of migrants mi$ grating into Denmark between 1980 to 2005. Based on data from Statistics Denmark I find the duration time for immigrants in Denmark. I include all individuals aged 15 or above immigrated to Denmark in this period. Surely some of the immigrants have not yet left Denmark by the end of the period, so the data are right censored. I find the hazard rate for immigrants, showing at what rate immigrants will emigrate.
To analyze whether there are any differences between migrants with long and short durations I find the effects on the Hazard rate from years of edu$ cation, wage, tenure, unemployment, age, sex, and marital status.
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