Ebook Peak Oil and Our Future An Overview and Personal Perspective
This is an essay about Peak Oil, energy depletion, and the effects these issues will have on our lives. The information may come as a rude shock to many of you, and disrupt your sense of comfort and security. I apologize for that up front. The decision to write this was difficult, and it was not easy to compose. I will describe several energy supply trends and possible economic outcomes that I hope will not unfold in dramatic or chaotic ways. But in the end, I feel that the potential for these things happening and their possible consequences are simply too important to not pass on. It is not my intention to scare you or make you feel uncomfortable, but rather provide information and food for thought that you, your family, friends, and community might find helpful.
CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION
How Peak Oil Found Me
WHAT IS PEAK OIL AND RESOURCE DEPLETION ?
The Nut Picker Analogy
The Normal Curve and Growth Curve
HUBBERT'S PEAK OIL PREDICTIONS AND CONTROVERSY
Hubbert's US Peak Oil Prediction
Optimist and Pessimist Resource Experts
Official Resource Estimates are Biased High
Peak Oil is NOW
How Peak Oil Will Appear - The Plateau Period REACTIONS TO PEAK OIL
Official Government Reports
Press Coverage
The Oil Business Perspective on Peak Oil
The Existing Oil and Gas Infrastructure
OTHER RESOURCES VULNERABLE TO PEAKING PRODUCTION
Natural Gas
Coal
Uranium
Metals
Phosphorus
Soil
Water
Fisheries
WHY IS PEAK OIL IMPORTANT ?
Oil and Agriculture
Peak Oil and Potential Effects on the Economy
OUR COMPLEX AND VULNERABLE GLOBAL ECONOMY AND INFRASTRUCTURE
Shrinking Time Horizons
Exponential Growth and Debt Expansion
Resilience is Sacrificed to Efficiency
Complexity and Vulnerability
The Global Economy's Effects on America
What are you, a damn commie?
The Economy and Peak Oil Mitigation
ALTERNATIVE FUELS AND RENEWABLE ENERGY – REALITY CHECKS
The Fallacy of Business as Usual
The Scale of Our Current Energy Consumption
Post–Peak Energy Declines Accumulate over Time
Net Energy and ERoEI of Alternative Energy
Lag Times and Existing Infrastructure
ALTERNATIVE FUELS AND RENEWABLE ENERGY – RATING THE CANDIDATES
Conservation through Replacement Technology Alternative Fuels
Renewable Energy
Conservation and The Oil Depletion Protocol
OIL POLITICS AND NATIONAL SECURITY
Oil Wars and Terrorism
We are Junkies for that Oil
Bigger Badder Wars are Coming
Conservation and National Security
WHAT CAN WE EXPECT ?
Relocalization and Personality
WHAT CAN WE DO?
Advocate Common Sense National Mitigation and Preparation Strategies
Organizing at the Local and State Levels
A Personal and Practical To Do List
UPDATES AND CLOSING THOUGHTS
REFERENCES AND NOTES
OTHER WEB RESOURCES FOR PEAK OIL AND SUSTAINABILITY
APPENDIX: ENERGY DATA
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Ebook Peak Oil and Our Future An Overview and Personal Perspective
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